Fotbalovy stadion · Analysis updated 15:05 UTC
Hluboka nad Vltavou vs Aritma Praha Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.28 expected goals for Hluboka nad Vltavou and 1.18 for Aritma Praha, a combined total of 3.46. That distribution gives Hluboka nad Vltavou the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hluboka nad Vltavou win
62.0% probability
Expected goals
2.28 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hluboka nad Vltavou home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Aritma Praha away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hluboka nad Vltavou to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 19% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.28 goals for Hluboka nad Vltavou and 1.18 for Aritma Praha, a combined 3.46 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
38%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.6%
- 1–18.5%
- 2–08.2%
- 3–17.3%
- 1–07.2%
Recent form
Hluboka nad Vltavou
- 2026-10-16T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Pribram · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Nyrsko · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Křimice · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Doubravka · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Milevsko · 2-2 (D)
Aritma Praha
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Příbram II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Admira Praha · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs České Budějovice · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-09-12T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Slavia III · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Motorlet Praha · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hluboka nad Vltavou win, at 62.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.