· Analysis updated 13:15 UTC
Hluboka nad Vltavou vs Petřín Plzeň Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.74 expected goals for Hluboka nad Vltavou and 1.56 for Petřín Plzeň, a combined total of 3.31. That distribution gives Hluboka nad Vltavou the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.1% probability
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.56
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hluboka nad Vltavou home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Petřín Plzeň away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hluboka nad Vltavou to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 23% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.74 goals for Hluboka nad Vltavou and 1.56 for Petřín Plzeň, a combined 3.31 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.0%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–27.8%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–06.4%
Recent form
Hluboka nad Vltavou
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Doubravka · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Milevsko · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Táborsko II · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Soběslav · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-25T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Žižkov · 0-2 (L)
Petřín Plzeň
- 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Strakonice · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Pribram · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Nyrsko · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Křimice · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Doubravka · 4-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Petřín Plzeň | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 19 |
| 2 | Křimice | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Spartak Pribram | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 17 |
| 4 | Hořovicko | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Spartak Soběslav | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Hluboka nad Vltavou | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16 |
| 7 | Komárov | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Táborsko II | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 9 | Slavoj Český Krumlov | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Doubravka | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Strakonice | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Rokycany | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 13 | Jiskra Domažlice II | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -8 | 3 |
| 14 | Nyrsko | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -16 | 3 |
| 15 | Milevsko | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.