Hluboka nad Vltavou vs Spartak Soběslav Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.18 expected goals for Hluboka nad Vltavou and 1.56 for Spartak Soběslav, a combined total of 3.75. That distribution gives Hluboka nad Vltavou the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Hluboka nad Vltavou win

51.8% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.18 – 1.56

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Hluboka nad Vltavou home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Spartak Soběslav away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hluboka nad Vltavou to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 21% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.18 goals for Hluboka nad Vltavou and 1.56 for Spartak Soběslav, a combined 3.75 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Hluboka nad Vltavou win52%

Draw21%

Spartak Soběslav win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

48%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals72%

Over 3.5 goals52%

Both teams to score70%

Correct score

2–18.8%
1–18.1%
2–26.9%
3–16.4%
1–26.3%

Recent form

Hluboka nad Vltavou

2026-10-16T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Pribram · 1-3 (L)
2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Nyrsko · 5-0 (W)
2026-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Křimice · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Doubravka · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Milevsko · 2-2 (D)

Spartak Soběslav

2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Doubravka · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Milevsko · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Táborsko II · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Hluboka nad Vltavou · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Domažlice II · 3-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

4. liga - Divizie A table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Křimice	12	8	2	2	11	26
2	Petřín Plzeň	12	8	1	3	8	25
3	Spartak Pribram	11	7	3	1	19	24
4	Komárov	11	6	4	1	11	22
5	Hluboka nad Vltavou	11	6	4	1	9	22
6	Hořovicko	12	6	3	3	5	21
7	Táborsko II	11	5	4	2	8	19
8	Spartak Soběslav	11	5	3	3	6	18
9	Doubravka	11	4	2	5	-1	14
10	Slavoj Český Krumlov	11	4	1	6	-6	13
11	Rokycany	11	4	1	6	-8	13
12	Strakonice	11	2	1	8	-15	7
13	Jiskra Domažlice II	11	2	0	9	-8	6
14	Nyrsko	11	1	1	9	-24	4
15	Milevsko	11	0	2	9	-15	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Hluboka nad Vltavou win, at 51.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.

A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.