· Analysis updated 13:30 UTC
Hlučín vs Kravare Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Hlučín and 1.55 for Kravare, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Hlučín the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hlučín win
47.2% probability
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.55
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hlučín home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hlučín to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 22% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.95 goals for Hlučín and 1.55 for Kravare, a combined 3.50 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 68% and both teams to score at 68%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
53%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.1%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–27.1%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–05.9%
Recent form
Hlučín
- 2026-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Nový Jičín · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Stonava · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Pustá Polom · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Valašské Meziříčí · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Bílovec · 1-0 (W)
Kravare
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie F table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bospor Bohumín | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 24 |
| 2 | Kravare | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | Vratimov | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Hlučín | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Stonava | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Jiskra Rýmařov | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Nový Jičín | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 | Opava II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Valašské Meziříčí | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 10 | Zabreh | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Pustá Polom | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Frydek-Mistek B | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | Šumperk | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Břidličná | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | Bílovec | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 | Frýdlant | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -30 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hlučín win, at 47.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.