Hoffenheim II W vs Borussia Monchengladbach W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.83 expected goals for Hoffenheim II W and 1.38 for Borussia Monchengladbach W, a combined total of 2.20. That distribution gives Borussia Monchengladbach W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 38% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Borussia Monchengladbach W win

49.8% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.83 – 1.38

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Hoffenheim II W home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Borussia Monchengladbach W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Borussia Monchengladbach W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 23% / 28% / 50% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.83 goals for Hoffenheim II W and 1.38 for Borussia Monchengladbach W, a combined 2.20 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Hoffenheim II W win23%

Draw28%

Borussia Monchengladbach W win50%

Double chance 1X

50%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

78%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals65%

Over 2.5 goals38%

Over 3.5 goals18%

Both teams to score42%

Correct score

0–115.2%
1–112.6%
0–011.1%
0–210.5%
1–09.1%

Recent form

Hoffenheim II W

2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Andernach W · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SGS Essen W · 1-4 (L)
2026-08-09T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Meppen W · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Berlin W · 1-3 (L)
2024-05-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Carl Zeiss Jena W · 0-2 (L)

Borussia Monchengladbach W

2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Bayern Munich W · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Ingolstadt W · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Bochum W · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha Berlin W · 2-3 (L)
2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SGS Essen W · 1-5 (L)

Head-to-head

2024-05-05T09:00:00.000Z · Hoffenheim II W 3-1 Borussia Monchengladbach W (2. Frauen Bundesliga)
2023-11-12T10:00:00.000Z · Hoffenheim II W 2-3 Borussia Monchengladbach W (2. Frauen Bundesliga)

2. Frauen Bundesliga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Viktoria Berlin W	10	9	0	1	12	27
2	SGS Essen W	10	7	2	1	21	23
3	Hertha Berlin W	10	7	2	1	7	23
4	Bochum W	10	6	2	2	14	20
5	Meppen W	10	4	4	2	7	16
6	Ingolstadt W	10	4	3	3	3	15
7	Carl Zeiss Jena W	10	4	1	5	1	13
8	Borussia Monchengladbach W	10	4	1	5	-1	13
9	Andernach W	10	4	1	5	-9	13
10	SC Sand W	10	3	3	4	-3	12
11	Eintracht Frankfurt II W	10	3	1	6	-12	10
12	Hoffenheim II W	10	1	2	7	-10	5
13	Turbine Potsdam W	10	1	2	7	-15	5
14	FC Koln II W	10	0	2	8	-15	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Borussia Monchengladbach W win, at 49.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 38%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.