Hoffenheim II W vs Viktoria Berlin W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.89 expected goals for Hoffenheim II W and 2.09 for Viktoria Berlin W, a combined total of 2.99. That distribution gives Viktoria Berlin W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Viktoria Berlin W win

65.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.89 – 2.09

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Hoffenheim II W home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Viktoria Berlin W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Viktoria Berlin W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 15% / 20% / 65% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.89 goals for Hoffenheim II W and 2.09 for Viktoria Berlin W, a combined 2.99 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Hoffenheim II W win15%

Draw20%

Viktoria Berlin W win65%

Double chance 1X

35%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

85%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals57%

Over 3.5 goals35%

Both teams to score52%

Correct score

0–211.1%
0–110.6%
1–29.9%
1–19.4%
0–37.7%

Recent form

Hoffenheim II W

2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Andernach W · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SGS Essen W · 1-4 (L)
2026-08-09T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Meppen W · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Berlin W · 1-3 (L)
2024-05-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Carl Zeiss Jena W · 0-2 (L)

Viktoria Berlin W

2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Carl Zeiss Jena W · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Ingolstadt W · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Borussia Monchengladbach W · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Bayer Leverkusen W · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SGS Essen W · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

2. Frauen Bundesliga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Viktoria Berlin W	10	9	0	1	12	27
2	SGS Essen W	10	7	2	1	21	23
3	Hertha Berlin W	10	7	2	1	7	23
4	Bochum W	10	6	2	2	14	20
5	Meppen W	10	4	4	2	7	16
6	Ingolstadt W	10	4	3	3	3	15
7	Carl Zeiss Jena W	10	4	1	5	1	13
8	Borussia Monchengladbach W	10	4	1	5	-1	13
9	Andernach W	10	4	1	5	-9	13
10	SC Sand W	10	3	3	4	-3	12
11	Eintracht Frankfurt II W	10	3	1	6	-12	10
12	Hoffenheim II W	10	1	2	7	-10	5
13	Turbine Potsdam W	10	1	2	7	-15	5
14	FC Koln II W	10	0	2	8	-15	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Viktoria Berlin W win, at 65.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.