Ghana · Premier League · Matchweek 2915:00

0 – 3

Sunday, 12 April 2026

Hohoe Sports Stadium · Analysis updated 09:02 UTC

Hohoe United vs Bechem United Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.97 expected goals for Hohoe United and 1.95 for Bechem United, a combined total of 2.92. That distribution gives Bechem United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Bechem United win

60.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

0.97 – 1.95

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Hohoe United home form

    0 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Bechem United away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Bechem United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 18% / 22% / 60% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.97 goals for Hohoe United and 1.95 for Bechem United, a combined 2.92 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Hohoe United win18%
Draw22%
Bechem United win60%

Double chance 1X

40%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

82%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams to score53%

Correct score

  • 0–110.5%
  • 0–210.2%
  • 1–110.2%
  • 1–29.9%
  • 0–36.7%

Recent form

Hohoe United

  • 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Heart of Lions · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-17T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Basake Holy Stars · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-10T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bibiani Gold Stars · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Asante Kotoko · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Berekum Chelsea · 0-3 (L)

Bechem United

  • 2026-05-24T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Berekum Chelsea · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-17T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Asante Kotoko · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-10T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Swedru All Blacks · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Dreams · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Eleven Wonders · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Medeama8521717
2Hearts of Oak8521717
3Samartex8431415
4Port City8422414
5Swedru All Blacks8422314
6Bechem United8413213
7Aduana Stars8413213
8Basake Holy Stars8404-312
9Asante Kotoko8332012
10Berekum Chelsea8323111
11Ashanti Gold8323111
12Bibiani Gold Stars8314-110
13Karela8305-39
14Vision823309
15Heart of Lions8224-48
16Debibi United8215-57
17Young Apostles8206-86
18Dreams8035-73

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Bechem United win, at 60.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.

A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.