Stadion Strelnice · Analysis updated 09:27 UTC
Holešov vs Slavičín Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Holešov and 1.60 for Slavičín, a combined total of 3.55. That distribution gives Holešov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Holešov win
46.2% probability
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.60
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Holešov home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Slavičín away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Holešov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 22% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.95 goals for Holešov and 1.60 for Slavičín, a combined 3.55 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
68%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.0%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–27.2%
- 2–27.0%
- 3–15.7%
Recent form
Holešov
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kozlovice · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hluk · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Břeclav · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs SK Krumvir · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-30T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Brumov · 3-3 (D)
Slavičín
- 2026-10-11T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Brumov · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Baťov · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-26T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Prostejov B · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Kroměříž II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Šternberk · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Holešov win, at 46.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.