Stadion Strelnice · Analysis updated 20:05 UTC
Holešov vs Tatran Všechovice Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.38 expected goals for Holešov and 2.25 for Tatran Všechovice, a combined total of 3.63. That distribution gives Tatran Všechovice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Tatran Všechovice win
57.2% probability
Expected goals
1.38 – 2.25
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Holešov home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Tatran Všechovice away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Tatran Všechovice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 23% / 20% / 57% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.38 goals for Holešov and 2.25 for Tatran Všechovice, a combined 3.63 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
43%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
77%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.3%
- 1–18.2%
- 1–37.0%
- 0–26.7%
- 2–26.4%
Recent form
Holešov
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kozlovice · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hluk · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Břeclav · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs SK Krumvir · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-30T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Brumov · 3-3 (D)
Tatran Všechovice
- 2026-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Brumov · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Baťov · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Prostejov B · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kroměříž II · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Šternberk · 6-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie E table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatran Všechovice | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 30 |
| 2 | Strání | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 28 |
| 3 | Kozlovice | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 25 |
| 4 | Sokol Lanžhot | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23 |
| 5 | Slavičín | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | SK Krumvir | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Prostejov B | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 | Šternberk | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Holešov | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | Hluk | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 11 | Břeclav | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Bzenec | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | Kroměříž II | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Brumov | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -21 | 7 |
| 15 | Nové Sady | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -23 | 7 |
| 16 | Baťov | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | -39 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Tatran Všechovice win, at 57.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.