· Analysis updated 22:51 UTC
Holstein Kiel U19 vs Hansa Rostock U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.60 expected goals for Holstein Kiel U19 and 2.00 for Hansa Rostock U19, a combined total of 4.60. That distribution gives Holstein Kiel U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Holstein Kiel U19 win
51.4% probability
Expected goals
2.60 – 2.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Holstein Kiel U19 home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Hansa Rostock U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Holstein Kiel U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 19% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.60 goals for Holstein Kiel U19 and 2.00 for Hansa Rostock U19, a combined 4.60 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–16.8%
- 2–26.8%
- 3–15.9%
- 3–25.9%
- 1–15.2%
Recent form
Holstein Kiel U19
- 2026-08-29T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Kaiserslautern U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hansa Rostock U19 · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-08-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Werder Bremen U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-01T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Borussia Dortmund U19 · 4-3 (W)
Hansa Rostock U19
- 2026-10-03T11:30:00.000Z · A vs St. Pauli U19 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Werder Bremen U19 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Holstein Kiel U19 · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs St. Pauli U19 · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Holstein Kiel U19 win, at 51.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 80% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.