· Analysis updated 16:09 UTC
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Viettel Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.68 expected goals for Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh and 1.03 for Viettel, a combined total of 2.71. That distribution gives Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh win
52.7% probability
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.03
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 24% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.68 goals for Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh and 1.03 for Viettel, a combined 2.71 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 51% and both teams to score at 52%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
47%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.5%
- 1–011.2%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.4%
- 0–16.9%
Recent form
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
- 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hai Phong · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Song Lam Nghe An · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-08T12:15:00.000Z · A vs Viettel · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Xuan Thien Phu Tho · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Bình Phước · 1-0 (W)
Viettel
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
V.League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Song Lam Nghe An | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 |
| 2 | Nam Dinh | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Công An Nhân Dân | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Phu Dong | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Ho Chi Minh | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Thanh Hóa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Hai Phong | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Da Nang | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Ha Noi | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Bắc Ninh | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Viettel | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 14 | Bình Phước | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -10 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh win, at 52.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.