Leppavaara stadium · Analysis updated 23:43 UTC
Honka vs P-Iirot Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.58 expected goals for Honka and 1.04 for P-Iirot, a combined total of 3.62. That distribution gives Honka the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws roughly 30% of the time.
Model pick
Honka to Win
70.5% probability
Expected goals
2.58 – 1.04
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
87%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
30%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.3%
- 2–08.9%
- 3–18.0%
- 3–07.7%
- 1–17.2%
Why the model likes this
P-Iirot away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Honka to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 71%, against 71% / 16% / 13% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.58 goals for Honka and 1.04 for P-Iirot, a combined 3.62 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 70% and both teams to score at 60%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Recent form
Honka
P-Iirot
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Honka · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs GrIFK · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs NJS · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ilves II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs EBK · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Kakkonen - Lohko B table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.