· Analysis updated 21:00 UTC
Horní Heršpice W vs Baník Ostrava W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.12 expected goals for Horní Heršpice W and 1.80 for Baník Ostrava W, a combined total of 2.92. That distribution gives Baník Ostrava W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Baník Ostrava W win
53.2% probability
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.80
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Horní Heršpice W home form
0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Baník Ostrava W away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Baník Ostrava W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 24% / 23% / 53% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.12 goals for Horní Heršpice W and 1.80 for Baník Ostrava W, a combined 2.92 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
47%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
76%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.9%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–19.7%
- 0–28.7%
- 2–16.1%
Recent form
Horní Heršpice W
- 2026-10-25T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Slovácko W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Liberec W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Prague Raptors W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava W · 0-7 (L)
Baník Ostrava W
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Liberec W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha W · 0-8 (L)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Horní Heršpice W · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Prague Raptors W · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha W | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 27 |
| 2 | Sparta Praha W | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
| 3 | Slovan Liberec W | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Prague Raptors W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 5 | Slovácko W | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -13 | 10 |
| 6 | Viktoria Plzeň W | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -13 | 9 |
| 7 | Baník Ostrava W | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -18 | 4 |
| 8 | Horní Heršpice W | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -27 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Baník Ostrava W win, at 53.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.