· Analysis updated 08:55 UTC
Horní Heršpice W vs Slavia Praha W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.42 expected goals for Horní Heršpice W and 4.50 for Slavia Praha W, a combined total of 4.92. That distribution gives Slavia Praha W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 96%, with the draw at 3%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score, with 0–4 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 96% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Slavia Praha W win
96.1% probability
Expected goals
0.42 – 4.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Horní Heršpice W home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Slavia Praha W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 96%, against 1% / 3% / 96% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.42 goals for Horní Heršpice W and 4.50 for Slavia Praha W, a combined 4.92 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 83% and both teams to score at 33%, with 0–4 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
4%
Double chance 12
97%
Double chance X2
99%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–412.5%
- 0–511.2%
- 0–311.1%
- 0–68.4%
- 0–27.4%
Recent form
Horní Heršpice W
- 2026-08-16T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Liberec W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-23T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-05-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Plzeň W · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-05-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Praha W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-04-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava W · 0-1 (L)
Slavia Praha W
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha W | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 21 |
| 2 | Sparta Praha W | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 |
| 3 | Slovan Liberec W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Prague Raptors W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Viktoria Plzeň W | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 9 |
| 6 | Slovácko W | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -16 | 7 |
| 7 | Baník Ostrava W | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -12 | 4 |
| 8 | Horní Heršpice W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -25 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Slavia Praha W win, at 96.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–4.
It puts both teams scoring at 33% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.
A 96% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.