Czech-Republic · 1. Liga Women · Matchweek 1609:00

3 – 1

Saturday, 4 April 2026

· Analysis updated 02:41 UTC

Horní Heršpice W vs Viktoria Plzeň W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.87 expected goals for Horní Heršpice W and 1.96 for Viktoria Plzeň W, a combined total of 2.83. That distribution gives Viktoria Plzeň W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Viktoria Plzeň W win

63.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.87 – 1.96

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Horní Heršpice W home form

    0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Viktoria Plzeň W away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Horní Heršpice W win16%
Draw21%
Viktoria Plzeň W win63%

Double chance 1X

37%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

84%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams to score50%

Correct score

  • 0–111.6%
  • 0–211.4%
  • 1–110.0%
  • 1–29.9%
  • 0–37.5%

Recent form

Horní Heršpice W

  • 2026-10-25T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Slovácko W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Liberec W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Prague Raptors W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava W · 0-7 (L)

Viktoria Plzeň W

  • 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Liberec W · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha W · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Horní Heršpice W · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava W · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · Horní Heršpice W 0-2 Viktoria Plzeň W (1. Liga Women)
  • 2026-05-17T11:00:00.000Z · Horní Heršpice W 3-0 Viktoria Plzeň W (1. Liga Women)
  • 2026-04-04T09:00:00.000Z · Horní Heršpice W 3-1 Viktoria Plzeň W (1. Liga Women)
  • 2026-03-22T14:00:00.000Z · Horní Heršpice W 1-0 Viktoria Plzeň W (1. Liga Women)
  • 2025-10-04T09:00:00.000Z · Horní Heršpice W 0-0 Viktoria Plzeň W (1. Liga Women)
  • 2025-05-10T09:00:00.000Z · Horní Heršpice W 1-0 Viktoria Plzeň W (1. Liga Women)
  • 2025-04-12T14:30:00.000Z · Horní Heršpice W 0-6 Viktoria Plzeň W (1. Liga Women)
  • 2025-03-15T12:30:00.000Z · Horní Heršpice W 1-3 Viktoria Plzeň W (1. Liga Women)
  • 2024-09-21T09:00:00.000Z · Horní Heršpice W 2-2 Viktoria Plzeň W (1. Liga Women)
  • 2024-05-18T09:00:00.000Z · Horní Heršpice W 0-2 Viktoria Plzeň W (1. Liga Women)

1. Liga Women table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Slavia Praha W99004527
2Sparta Praha W97022321
3Slovan Liberec W8503315
4Slovácko W9414-1113
5Viktoria Plzeň W9405-1012
6Prague Raptors W8404-312
7Baník Ostrava W9117-184
8Horní Heršpice W9009-290

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Viktoria Plzeň W win, at 63.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.