Fotbalovy stadion · Analysis updated 15:51 UTC
Horní Ředice vs Mladá Boleslav II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for Horní Ředice and 2.45 for Mladá Boleslav II, a combined total of 3.66. That distribution gives Mladá Boleslav II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Mladá Boleslav II win
64.8% probability
Expected goals
1.20 – 2.45
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Horní Ředice home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Mladá Boleslav II away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Mladá Boleslav II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 17% / 18% / 65% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.20 goals for Horní Ředice and 2.45 for Mladá Boleslav II, a combined 3.66 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
35%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
83%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.3%
- 0–27.8%
- 1–37.6%
- 1–17.6%
- 0–36.4%
Recent form
Horní Ředice
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Teplice II · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Čáslav · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Brozany · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Souš · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Hradec Králové II · 1-0 (W)
Mladá Boleslav II
- 2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové II · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Liberec II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Jablonec II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Zápy · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-29T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Velké Hamry · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. liga - CFL B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sokol Zápy | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 21 |
| 2 | Jablonec II | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 18 |
| 3 | Mladá Boleslav II | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 17 |
| 4 | Benátky nad Jizerou | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Pardubice II | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Teplice II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Baník Souš | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 |
| 8 | Varnsdorf | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Čáslav | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | Hradec Králové II | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Horní Ředice | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 12 | Neratovice-Byškovice | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 9 |
| 13 | Sokol Brozany | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Chrudim | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 7 |
| 15 | Slovan Liberec II | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
| 16 | Velké Hamry | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Mladá Boleslav II win, at 64.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.