· Analysis updated 23:47 UTC
Horní Ředice vs Sokol Zápy Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.28 expected goals for Horní Ředice and 2.44 for Sokol Zápy, a combined total of 3.73. That distribution gives Sokol Zápy the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Sokol Zápy win
62.9% probability
Expected goals
1.28 – 2.44
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Horní Ředice home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Sokol Zápy away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sokol Zápy to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 19% / 18% / 63% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.28 goals for Horní Ředice and 2.44 for Sokol Zápy, a combined 3.73 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
37%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
81%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.2%
- 1–17.5%
- 1–37.5%
- 0–27.2%
- 2–25.9%
Recent form
Horní Ředice
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Teplice II · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Čáslav · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Brozany · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Souš · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Hradec Králové II · 1-0 (W)
Sokol Zápy
- 2026-10-25T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Pardubice II · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-10-18T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Teplice II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Čáslav · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sokol Brozany · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-27T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Baník Souš · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. liga - CFL B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jablonec II | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 27 |
| 2 | Mladá Boleslav II | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 26 |
| 3 | Sokol Zápy | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | Benátky nad Jizerou | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Pardubice II | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 20 |
| 6 | Varnsdorf | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
| 7 | Baník Souš | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Neratovice-Byškovice | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | Čáslav | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 14 |
| 10 | Hradec Králové II | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Teplice II | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Chrudim | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 13 |
| 13 | Slovan Liberec II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 11 |
| 14 | Horní Ředice | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 9 |
| 15 | Sokol Brozany | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | Velké Hamry | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -20 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sokol Zápy win, at 62.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.