Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie A · Group A - 315:00
HořovickoDWLWD

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Saturday, 22 August 2026

Táborsko IIWDDWL

· Analysis updated 03:43 UTC

Hořovicko vs Táborsko II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Hořovicko and 1.34 for Táborsko II, a combined total of 2.82. That distribution gives Hořovicko the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

65.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.34

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Táborsko II away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hořovicko to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 25% / 34% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Hořovicko and 1.34 for Táborsko II, a combined 2.82 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 57%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Match result (1X2)

Hořovicko win40%
Draw25%
Táborsko II win34%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams to score57%

Correct score

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 1–27.9%

Recent form

Hořovicko

    Táborsko II

    • 2026-10-17T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Křimice · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Doubravka · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Milevsko · 3-2 (W)
    • 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Soběslav · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-09-12T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Hluboka nad Vltavou · 1-3 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    4. liga - Divizie A table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Křimice128221126
    2Petřín Plzeň12813825
    3Spartak Pribram117311924
    4Komárov116411122
    5Hluboka nad Vltavou11641922
    6Hořovicko12633521
    7Táborsko II11542819
    8Spartak Soběslav11533618
    9Doubravka11425-114
    10Slavoj Český Krumlov11416-613
    11Rokycany11416-813
    12Strakonice11218-157
    13Jiskra Domažlice II11209-86
    14Nyrsko11119-244
    15Milevsko11029-152

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

    A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.