Jalan Besar Stadium · Referee J. Foo · Analysis updated 09:00 UTC
Hougang United vs Geylang International Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Hougang United and 2.04 for Geylang International, a combined total of 3.15. That distribution gives Geylang International the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Geylang International win
59.1% probability
Expected goals
1.10 – 2.04
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hougang United home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Geylang International away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Geylang International to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 20% / 21% / 59% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.10 goals for Hougang United and 2.04 for Geylang International, a combined 3.15 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
41%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
80%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.7%
- 0–29.0%
- 0–18.8%
- 1–36.7%
Recent form
Hougang United
- 2026-10-16T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Tanjong Pagar · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-12T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Balestier Khalsa · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-18T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Albirex Niigata S · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Home United · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-18T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Tanjong Pagar · 1-2 (L)
Geylang International
- 2026-05-15T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Balestier Khalsa · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-05-09T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Young Lions · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-02T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Balestier Khalsa · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-04-26T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Home United · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-04-19T12:20:00.000Z · H vs Tanjong Pagar · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Geylang International | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Tampines Rovers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Home United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| 4 | Balestier Khalsa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 5 | Albirex Niigata S | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Tanjong Pagar | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Hougang United | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| 8 | Young Lions | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -17 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Geylang International win, at 59.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.