Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 609:00

2 – 1

Saturday, 12 September 2026

· Analysis updated 00:41 UTC

Hradec Králové U19 vs České Budějovice U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.78 expected goals for Hradec Králové U19 and 1.59 for České Budějovice U19, a combined total of 4.37. That distribution gives Hradec Králové U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Hradec Králové U19 win

62.6% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.78 – 1.59

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Hradec Králové U19 home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hradec Králové U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 17% / 20% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.78 goals for Hradec Králové U19 and 1.59 for České Budějovice U19, a combined 4.37 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 81% and both teams to score at 75%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Match result (1X2)

Hradec Králové U19 win63%
Draw17%
České Budějovice U19 win20%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

37%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals81%
Over 3.5 goals63%
Both teams to score75%

Correct score

  • 2–17.8%
  • 3–17.2%
  • 2–26.2%
  • 3–25.7%
  • 1–15.6%

Recent form

Hradec Králové U19

  • 2026-09-16T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs České Budějovice U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Plzeň U19 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-29T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Pardubice U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-26T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 4-0 (W)

České Budějovice U19

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    1. Liga U19 table

    Full league page →

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Hradec Králové U19 win, at 62.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.

    A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.