Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 108:00

4 – 0

Wednesday, 26 August 2026

· Analysis updated 22:03 UTC

Hradec Králové U19 vs Slavia Praha U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.02 expected goals for Hradec Králové U19 and 0.92 for Slavia Praha U19, a combined total of 3.95. That distribution gives Hradec Králové U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 79%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 79% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Hradec Králové U19 win

79.2% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

3.02 – 0.92

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Hradec Králové U19 home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Slavia Praha U19 away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hradec Králové U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 79%, against 79% / 13% / 8% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.02 goals for Hradec Králové U19 and 0.92 for Slavia Praha U19, a combined 3.95 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Hradec Králové U19 win79%
Draw13%
Slavia Praha U19 win8%

Double chance 1X

92%

Double chance 12

88%

Double chance X2

21%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals75%
Over 3.5 goals55%
Both teams to score57%

Correct score

  • 3–08.9%
  • 2–08.8%
  • 3–18.2%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 4–06.7%

Recent form

Hradec Králové U19

  • 2026-09-16T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs České Budějovice U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Plzeň U19 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-29T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Pardubice U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-26T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 4-0 (W)

Slavia Praha U19

  • 2026-10-24T10:15:00.000Z · H vs Opava U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Fenerbahce U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sabah U19 · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko U19 · 4-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga U19 table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Hradec Králové U19 win, at 79.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.

A 79% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.