Hradec Králové U19 vs Sparta Praha U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.33 expected goals for Hradec Králové U19 and 1.25 for Sparta Praha U19, a combined total of 3.58. That distribution gives Hradec Králové U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Hradec Králové U19 win

61.4% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.33 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Hradec Králové U19 home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Sparta Praha U19 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 7 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Hradec Králové U19 win61%

Draw19%

Sparta Praha U19 win19%

Double chance 1X

81%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

39%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals69%

Over 3.5 goals48%

Both teams to score64%

Correct score

2–19.5%
1–18.1%
2–07.6%
3–17.3%
1–06.5%

Recent form

Hradec Králové U19

2026-09-16T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs České Budějovice U19 · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Plzeň U19 · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-29T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Pardubice U19 · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-26T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 4-0 (W)

Sparta Praha U19

2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 3-1 (W)
2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Karviná U19 · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Opava U19 · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-03T09:00:00.000Z · A vs České Budějovice U19 · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-25T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-08-22T08:00:00.000Z · Hradec Králové U19 5-2 Sparta Praha U19 (1. Liga U19)
2026-05-08T09:00:00.000Z · Hradec Králové U19 3-0 Sparta Praha U19 (1. Liga U19)
2025-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · Hradec Králové U19 2-1 Sparta Praha U19 (1. Liga U19)
2023-04-29T09:00:00.000Z · Hradec Králové U19 1-2 Sparta Praha U19 (1. Liga U19)
2022-10-01T09:00:00.000Z · Hradec Králové U19 2-1 Sparta Praha U19 (1. Liga U19)
2022-05-07T09:00:00.000Z · Hradec Králové U19 0-4 Sparta Praha U19 (1. Liga U19)
2021-09-25T09:00:00.000Z · Hradec Králové U19 1-2 Sparta Praha U19 (1. Liga U19)

1. Liga U19 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Opava U19	12	9	1	2	18	28
2	Hradec Králové U19	13	7	4	2	18	25
3	Baník Ostrava U19	10	8	0	2	5	24
4	Sigma Olomouc U19	11	7	1	3	10	22
5	Dukla Praha U19	12	6	3	3	7	21
6	Mladá Boleslav U19	12	6	2	4	5	20
7	Viktoria Plzeň U19	9	6	1	2	16	19
8	Sparta Praha U19	11	5	1	5	4	16
9	Teplice U19	11	5	1	5	-6	16
10	České Budějovice U19	11	4	2	5	7	14
11	Zbrojovka Brno U19	12	4	2	6	-5	14
12	Slovácko U19	12	3	1	8	-12	10
13	Pardubice U19	12	2	2	8	-15	8
14	Zlín U19	11	2	2	7	-17	8
15	Slavia Praha U19	11	1	4	6	-11	7
16	Karviná U19	12	2	1	9	-24	7

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Hradec Králové U19 win, at 61.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.

A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.