Hradec Králové vs Bohemians 1905 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.08 expected goals for Hradec Králové and 1.04 for Bohemians 1905, a combined total of 2.12. That distribution gives Hradec Králové the largest share of the 1X2 market at 36%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 36% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 36% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

65.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.08 – 1.04

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Hradec Králové home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Bohemians 1905 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hradec Králové to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 36%, against 36% / 30% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.08 goals for Hradec Králové and 1.04 for Bohemians 1905, a combined 2.12 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Hradec Králové win36%

Draw30%

Bohemians 1905 win34%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

64%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals63%

Over 2.5 goals36%

Over 3.5 goals17%

Both teams to score43%

Correct score

1–113.5%
1–012.9%
0–112.5%
0–012.0%
2–17.3%

Recent form

Hradec Králové

2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Artis · 2-4 (L)
2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Kladno · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Teplice · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Příbram · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Zlin · 2-1 (W)

Bohemians 1905

2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Zbrojovka Brno · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-14T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Mlada Boleslav · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-10T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-30T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Vsetín · 5-0 (W)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bohemians · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Czech Liga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Slavia Praha	12	8	4	0	20	28
2	Mlada Boleslav	12	6	3	3	5	21
3	Sigma Olomouc	12	6	3	3	4	21
4	Slovan Liberec	11	6	2	3	6	20
5	Zbrojovka Brno	12	6	2	4	0	20
6	Sparta Praha	11	6	1	4	8	19
7	Teplice	12	5	3	4	1	18
8	FK Jablonec	11	5	2	4	2	17
9	Plzen	11	4	4	3	4	16
10	Bohemians 1905	11	4	4	3	0	16
11	Hradec Králové	11	4	3	4	-3	15
12	Pardubice	11	3	2	6	-4	11
13	Baník Ostrava	11	3	2	6	-11	11
14	Artis	11	2	3	6	-9	9
15	Slovácko	11	1	4	6	-8	7
16	Zlin	12	0	2	10	-15	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 36%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.