FINEP Arena · Analysis updated 13:31 UTC
Hradec Králové vs Kladno Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.76 expected goals for Hradec Králové and 1.33 for Kladno, a combined total of 3.09. That distribution gives Hradec Králové the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hradec Králové win
47.6% probability
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.33
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hradec Králové home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Kladno away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hradec Králové to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 23% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.76 goals for Hradec Králové and 1.33 for Kladno, a combined 3.09 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–08.0%
- 1–27.1%
- 2–07.0%
Recent form
Hradec Králové
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Artis · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Kladno · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Teplice · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Příbram · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Zlin · 2-1 (W)
Kladno
- 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T11:15:00.000Z · H vs Příbram · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Táborsko · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Karviná · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hradec Králové win, at 47.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.