FINEP Arena · Analysis updated 02:36 UTC
Hradec Králové vs Panathinaikos Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Hradec Králové and 1.18 for Panathinaikos, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Hradec Králové the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.
Model pick
Hradec Králové or Draw
69.8% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-baseline-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–07.7%
Why the model likes this
Hradec Králové home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Panathinaikos away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hradec Králové to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Hradec Králové and 1.18 for Panathinaikos, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Hradec Králové
- 2026-08-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Beşiktaş · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-06T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Beşiktaş · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-02T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Bohemians 1905 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-30T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Tromso · 3-1 (W)
Panathinaikos
- 2026-08-11T17:30:00.000Z · A vs CSKA 1948 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-05T18:30:00.000Z · H vs CSKA 1948 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-30T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Paks · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-23T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Paks · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-15T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rapid Vienna · 1-4 (L)
Head-to-head
No previous meetings were found between these teams. The prediction is still calculated from current form, home and away performance, goals data, team strength and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.