Hradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Hradec Králové and 1.50 for Sigma Olomouc, a combined total of 2.80. That distribution gives Sigma Olomouc the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Draw/Away

67.1% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Hradec Králové home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Sigma Olomouc away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Hradec Králové win33%

Draw25%

Sigma Olomouc win42%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

67%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%

Over 2.5 goals53%

Over 3.5 goals31%

Both teams to score57%

Correct score

1–111.9%
0–19.1%
1–28.9%
1–07.9%
2–17.7%

Recent form

Hradec Králové

2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Artis · 2-4 (L)
2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Kladno · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Teplice · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Příbram · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Zlin · 2-1 (W)

Sigma Olomouc

2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Teplice · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Žilina · 4-0 (W)
2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Plzen · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Prostějov · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-01-31T14:00:00.000Z · Hradec Králové 0-1 Sigma Olomouc (Czech Liga)
2025-08-24T13:00:00.000Z · Hradec Králové 1-0 Sigma Olomouc (Czech Liga)
2025-03-16T12:00:00.000Z · Hradec Králové 2-1 Sigma Olomouc (Czech Liga)
2024-10-19T11:30:00.000Z · Hradec Králové 1-1 Sigma Olomouc (Czech Liga)
2024-05-12T13:00:00.000Z · Hradec Králové 3-1 Sigma Olomouc (Czech Liga)
2024-05-05T13:00:00.000Z · Hradec Králové 3-1 Sigma Olomouc (Czech Liga)
2024-02-17T14:00:00.000Z · Hradec Králové 0-0 Sigma Olomouc (Czech Liga)
2024-01-13T13:00:00.000Z · Hradec Králové 1-1 Sigma Olomouc (Tipsport Malta Cup)
2023-09-03T18:00:00.000Z · Hradec Králové 1-3 Sigma Olomouc (Czech Liga)
2023-02-12T14:00:00.000Z · Hradec Králové 2-2 Sigma Olomouc (Czech Liga)

Czech Liga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Slavia Praha	10	8	2	0	20	26
2	Slovan Liberec	10	6	2	2	7	20
3	Sparta Praha	10	6	0	4	8	18
4	Mlada Boleslav	9	5	2	2	5	17
5	Sigma Olomouc	10	5	2	3	3	17
6	FK Jablonec	10	5	2	3	3	17
7	Teplice	10	5	2	3	2	17
8	Zbrojovka Brno	10	5	1	4	-1	16
9	Hradec Králové	10	4	2	4	-3	14
10	Plzen	10	3	4	3	3	13
11	Bohemians 1905	9	3	3	3	-1	12
12	Baník Ostrava	10	3	1	6	-11	10
13	Artis	10	2	2	6	-9	8
14	Pardubice	10	2	2	6	-7	8
15	Slovácko	10	1	4	5	-7	7
16	Zlin	10	0	1	9	-12	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.