· Analysis updated 07:56 UTC
Hrvatski Dragovoljac vs Uskok Klis Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.98 expected goals for Hrvatski Dragovoljac and 1.53 for Uskok Klis, a combined total of 2.50. That distribution gives Uskok Klis the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Uskok Klis win
50.0% probability
Expected goals
0.98 – 1.53
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hrvatski Dragovoljac home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Uskok Klis away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Uskok Klis to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 24% / 26% / 50% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.98 goals for Hrvatski Dragovoljac and 1.53 for Uskok Klis, a combined 2.50 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
50%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
76%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–112.5%
- 1–112.2%
- 0–29.5%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–08.2%
Recent form
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
- 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Grobničan Čavle · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Križevci · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Trnje · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavonija Požega · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-09T14:30:00.000Z · H vs NK Slaven Belupo · 0-5 (L)
Uskok Klis
- 2026-10-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Uljanik · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Solin · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-09T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-24T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Koprivnica · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bjelovar · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second NL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uskok Klis | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 |
| 2 | Bjelovar | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Dugo Selo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Jarun | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Trnje | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Uljanik | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 | Slavonija Požega | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Solin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Inter Zapresic | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Zagora | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Križevci | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Grobničan Čavle | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Hrvatski Dragovoljac | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | Lucko | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Varteks Varaždin | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 | Koprivnica | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Uskok Klis win, at 50.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.