England · Professional Development League · Semi-finals18:00

3 – 1

Monday, 11 May 2026

Accu Stadium · Analysis updated 13:40 UTC

Huddersfield Town U21 vs Everton U21 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Huddersfield Town U21 and 2.23 for Everton U21, a combined total of 4.18. That distribution gives Everton U21 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Everton U21 win

45.1% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.95 – 2.23

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Huddersfield Town U21 home form

    9 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.

  • Everton U21 away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Everton U21 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 35% / 20% / 45% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.95 goals for Huddersfield Town U21 and 2.23 for Everton U21, a combined 4.18 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Huddersfield Town U21 win35%
Draw20%
Everton U21 win45%

Double chance 1X

55%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals79%
Over 3.5 goals60%
Both teams to score76%

Correct score

  • 1–27.4%
  • 2–27.2%
  • 1–16.7%
  • 2–16.5%
  • 1–35.5%

Recent form

Huddersfield Town U21

  • 2026-10-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Sheffield Wednesday U21 · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Birmingham City U21 · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-29T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Wigan Athletic U21 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-14T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Swansea City U21 · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-07T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Swansea City U21 · 2-2 (D)

Everton U21

  • 2026-10-20T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia M'gladbach II · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Middlesbrough U21 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-13T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Solihull Moors · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-23T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Boreham Wood · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Reading U21 · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-05-11T18:00:00.000Z · Huddersfield Town U21 3-1 Everton U21 (Professional Development League)

Professional Development League table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Everton U21 win, at 45.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.

A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.