Estadio El Alcoraz · Analysis updated 15:48 UTC
Huesca II vs Real Zaragoza II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.87 expected goals for Huesca II and 1.15 for Real Zaragoza II, a combined total of 2.02. That distribution gives Real Zaragoza II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 33% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
72.6% probability
Expected goals
0.87 – 1.15
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Huesca II home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Real Zaragoza II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Real Zaragoza II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 27% / 30% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.87 goals for Huesca II and 1.15 for Real Zaragoza II, a combined 2.02 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
58%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–115.3%
- 0–013.3%
- 1–113.3%
- 1–011.5%
- 0–28.8%
Recent form
Huesca II
- 2026-09-06T16:30:00.000Z · A vs La Almunia · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-30T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Subiza · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-26T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Sabiñánigo · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-22T10:00:00.000Z · A vs UD Logroñés · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-15T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Ebro · 1-0 (W)
Real Zaragoza II
- 2026-09-20T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Caspe · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-13T10:00:00.000Z · H vs La Almunia · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T17:30:00.000Z · A vs CDJ Tamarite · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-03T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Beasain · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-04-26T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Unión · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Zaragoza II | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Ejea | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Brea | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Caspe | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Fraga | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Cuarte | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | Épila | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Binéfar | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Huesca II | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | La Almunia | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Atlético Monzón | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | CDJ Tamarite | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | Almudévar | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| 14 | Andorra CF | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Illueca | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | CD Sietamo | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Robres | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 | Belchite 97 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 72.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 33%.
A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.