· Analysis updated 07:07 UTC
Hull City U21 vs Wycombe U21 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.74 expected goals for Hull City U21 and 0.93 for Wycombe U21, a combined total of 2.67. That distribution gives Hull City U21 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hull City U21 win
56.4% probability
Expected goals
1.74 – 0.93
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hull City U21 home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hull City U21 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 24% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.74 goals for Hull City U21 and 0.93 for Wycombe U21, a combined 2.67 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 50%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
44%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–012.1%
- 1–111.2%
- 2–010.5%
- 2–19.7%
- 0–06.9%
Recent form
Hull City U21
- 2026-09-29T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Bolton Wanderers Res. · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-22T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Bristol City U21 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-08T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Brentford U21 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Swansea City U21 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Queens Park Rangers U21 · 3-3 (D)
Wycombe U21
- 2026-08-16T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Brentford U21 · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier League Cup table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hull City U21 win, at 56.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.