Hull City vs Manchester United Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.81 expected goals for Hull City and 2.09 for Manchester United, a combined total of 2.90. That distribution gives Manchester United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws roughly 33% of the time.

Model pick

Manchester United to Win

67.0% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

0.81 – 2.09

Model version

poisson-market-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Hull City win13%

Draw20%

Manchester United win67%

Double chance 1X

33%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

87%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%

Over 2.5 goals55%

Over 3.5 goals33%

Both teams to score49%

Correct score

0–212.0%
0–111.5%
1–29.7%
1–19.3%
0–38.4%

Why the model likes this

Hull City home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Manchester United away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 meetings.

Odds comparison

Indicative prices for the main markets.

Market	Selection	Odds	Bookmaker
Match Result	Home	7.60	10Bet
Match Result	Draw	4.50	10Bet
Match Result	Away	1.40	10Bet
Goals	Over 1.5	1.22	10Bet
Goals	Under 1.5	4.20	10Bet
Goals	Over 2.5	1.70	10Bet
Goals	Under 2.5	2.10	10Bet
Goals	Over 3.5	2.80	10Bet
Goals	Under 3.5	1.42	10Bet
Goals	Over 0.5	1.04	10Bet
Goals	Under 0.5	10.00	10Bet
Goals	Over 4.5	5.25	10Bet
Goals	Under 4.5	1.15	10Bet
BTTS	Yes	1.93	10Bet
BTTS	No	1.80	10Bet
Double Chance	Home/Draw	2.85	10Bet
Double Chance	Home/Away	1.15	10Bet
Double Chance	Draw/Away	1.08	10Bet

Recent form

Hull City

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Nice · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Frankfurt · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-01T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Kasımpaşa · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-28T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rizespor · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-25T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Konyaspor · 3-0 (W)

Manchester United

2026-08-15T14:45:00.000Z · H vs AC Milan · 2-4 (L)
2026-08-12T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Leeds · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Paris Saint Germain · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Atletico Madrid · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rosenborg · 5-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2017-02-01T20:00:00.000Z · Hull City 0-0 Manchester United (Premier League)
2017-01-26T19:45:00.000Z · Hull City 2-1 Manchester United (League Cup)
2017-01-10T20:00:00.000Z · Hull City 0-2 Manchester United (League Cup)
2016-08-27T16:30:00.000Z · Hull City 0-1 Manchester United (Premier League)
2015-05-24T14:00:00.000Z · Hull City 0-0 Manchester United (Premier League)
2014-11-29T15:00:00.000Z · Hull City 0-3 Manchester United (Premier League)
2014-05-06T18:45:00.000Z · Hull City 1-3 Manchester United (Premier League)
2013-12-26T12:45:00.000Z · Hull City 2-3 Manchester United (Premier League)

Premier League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Everton	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Manchester United	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Hull City	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Nottingham Forest	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.