· Analysis updated 23:05 UTC
Hullbridge Sports vs Cheshunt Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Hullbridge Sports and 2.33 for Cheshunt, a combined total of 4.33. That distribution gives Cheshunt the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Cheshunt win
46.2% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 2.33
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hullbridge Sports home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Cheshunt away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Cheshunt to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 34% / 20% / 46% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Hullbridge Sports and 2.33 for Cheshunt, a combined 4.33 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
54%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.2%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–16.2%
- 2–16.2%
- 1–35.5%
Recent form
Hullbridge Sports
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hendon · 3-7 (L)
- 2026-07-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Brentwood Town · 3-2 (W)
- 2025-08-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Brightlingsea Regent · 1-2 (L)
- 2025-08-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Basildon United · 3-1 (W)
- 2024-08-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Grays Athletic · 1-5 (L)
Cheshunt
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Cray Wanderers · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Lewes · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-15T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Welling United · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Eastbourne Borough · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-04T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Aveley · 2-4 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2023-07-17T18:45:00.000Z · Hullbridge Sports 1-0 Cheshunt (Friendlies Clubs)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Cheshunt win, at 46.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.