· Analysis updated 11:01 UTC
Hummetroth vs Hadamar Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.57 expected goals for Hummetroth and 2.07 for Hadamar, a combined total of 3.64. That distribution gives Hadamar the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Hadamar win
49.4% probability
Expected goals
1.57 – 2.07
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hummetroth home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Hadamar away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hadamar to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 29% / 21% / 49% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.57 goals for Hummetroth and 2.07 for Hadamar, a combined 3.64 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
71%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.8%
- 1–18.5%
- 2–26.9%
- 2–16.7%
- 1–36.1%
Recent form
Hummetroth
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Rot-Weiß Walldorf · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Gießen · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Eddersheim · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Fernwald · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Vfb Marburg · 2-1 (W)
Hadamar
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Fernwald · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Vfb Marburg · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs 1960 Hanau · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kassel 2 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hünfelder SV · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Hessen table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 33 |
| 2 | Unter-Flockenbach | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | Friedberg | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 27 |
| 4 | Hadamar | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 27 |
| 5 | Eddersheim | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 25 |
| 6 | Darmstadt 98 II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 24 |
| 7 | TuBa Pohlheim | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 23 |
| 8 | Fernwald | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Vfb Marburg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 20 |
| 11 | Hünfelder SV | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 19 |
| 12 | Kassel | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 18 |
| 13 | Bayern Alzenau | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -3 | 17 |
| 14 | Baunatal | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -7 | 16 |
| 15 | 1960 Hanau | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 13 |
| 16 | Hummetroth | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 12 |
| 17 | Kassel 2 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -12 | 12 |
| 18 | FC Gießen | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -21 | 9 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hadamar win, at 49.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.