· Analysis updated 15:00 UTC
Hunters vs Amtat FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.58 expected goals for Hunters and 2.00 for Amtat FC, a combined total of 4.58. That distribution gives Hunters the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hunters win
50.9% probability
Expected goals
2.58 – 2.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hunters home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hunters to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 19% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.58 goals for Hunters and 2.00 for Amtat FC, a combined 4.58 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 83% and both teams to score at 80%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–16.8%
- 2–26.8%
- 3–15.9%
- 3–25.9%
- 1–15.3%
Recent form
Hunters
- 2026-10-05T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Amtat FC · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T05:00:00.000Z · A vs Ulaangom City · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-27T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Ulaanbaatar · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-09-17T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Central Stallions · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Deren · 1-2 (L)
Amtat FC
- 2026-09-27T05:00:00.000Z · A vs Deren · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-20T05:00:00.000Z · H vs Ulaanbaatar · 0-9 (L)
- 2026-09-16T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Erchim · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Central Stallions · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Stallions | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 21 |
| 2 | Ulaanbaatar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 19 |
| 3 | Deren | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 17 |
| 4 | Khovd | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
| 5 | Hunters | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Erchim | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -15 | 6 |
| 7 | Khovd Western | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -22 | 3 |
| 8 | Amtat FC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -26 | 3 |
| 9 | Ulaangom City | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -22 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hunters win, at 50.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 80% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.