· Analysis updated 13:20 UTC
Hunters vs Khoromkhon Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 4.38 expected goals for Hunters and 1.26 for Khoromkhon, a combined total of 5.64. That distribution gives Hunters the largest share of the 1X2 market at 87%, with the draw at 8%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 89% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 4–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 87% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hunters win
86.8% probability
Expected goals
4.38 – 1.26
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hunters home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Khoromkhon away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hunters to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 87%, against 87% / 8% / 6% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 4.38 goals for Hunters and 1.26 for Khoromkhon, a combined 5.64 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
95%
Double chance 12
92%
Double chance X2
13%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 4–16.9%
- 3–16.3%
- 5–16.0%
- 4–05.5%
- 3–05.0%
Recent form
Hunters
- 2026-10-05T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Amtat FC · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T05:00:00.000Z · A vs Ulaangom City · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-27T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Ulaanbaatar · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-09-17T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Central Stallions · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Deren · 1-2 (L)
Khoromkhon
- 2026-07-04T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Khovd Western · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-01T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Khovd · 1-7 (L)
- 2026-06-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ulaangom City · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-06-22T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Hunters · 0-9 (L)
- 2026-06-17T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Ulaangom City · 2-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ulaanbaatar | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 36 | 25 |
| 2 | Central Stallions | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 21 |
| 3 | Deren | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 20 |
| 4 | Hunters | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 15 |
| 5 | Khovd | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Erchim | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -18 | 9 |
| 7 | Amtat FC | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -23 | 9 |
| 8 | Khovd Western | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -23 | 6 |
| 9 | Ulaangom City | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -24 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hunters win, at 86.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 89%.
A 87% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.