· Analysis updated 18:04 UTC
Hunters vs Khovd Western Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.13 expected goals for Hunters and 1.70 for Khovd Western, a combined total of 4.83. That distribution gives Hunters the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hunters win
65.9% probability
Expected goals
3.13 – 1.70
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hunters home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Khovd Western away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hunters to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 66% / 16% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.13 goals for Hunters and 1.70 for Khovd Western, a combined 4.83 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
34%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–16.9%
- 2–16.7%
- 3–25.9%
- 2–25.7%
- 4–15.4%
Recent form
Hunters
- 2026-10-05T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Amtat FC · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-09-30T05:00:00.000Z · A vs Ulaangom City · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-27T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Ulaanbaatar · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-09-17T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Central Stallions · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Deren · 1-2 (L)
Khovd Western
- 2026-10-04T05:00:00.000Z · A vs Central Stallions · 4-8 (L)
- 2026-10-01T05:00:00.000Z · H vs Deren · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-21T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Erchim · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-16T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Ulaangom City · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Khovd · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Stallions | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 21 |
| 2 | Ulaanbaatar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 19 |
| 3 | Deren | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 17 |
| 4 | Khovd | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
| 5 | Hunters | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Erchim | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -15 | 6 |
| 7 | Khovd Western | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -22 | 3 |
| 8 | Amtat FC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -26 | 3 |
| 9 | Ulaangom City | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -22 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hunters win, at 65.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.