Zimbabwe · Premier Soccer League · Matchweek 2913:00
HuntersWWWDL

1 – 0

Saturday, 19 September 2026

· Analysis updated 12:57 UTC

Hunters vs Manica Diamonds Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.15 expected goals for Hunters and 0.53 for Manica Diamonds, a combined total of 1.67. That distribution gives Hunters the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 32%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 24% for over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 22%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Hunters win

51.3% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.15 – 0.53

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Hunters home form

    3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Manica Diamonds away threat

    Scored in 1 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hunters to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 32% / 17% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.15 goals for Hunters and 0.53 for Manica Diamonds, a combined 1.67 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Hunters win51%
Draw32%
Manica Diamonds win17%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

68%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals50%
Over 2.5 goals24%
Over 3.5 goals9%
Both teams to score28%

Correct score

  • 1–021.5%
  • 0–018.7%
  • 2–012.4%
  • 1–111.3%
  • 0–19.8%

Recent form

Hunters

  • 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs TelOne · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Agama · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Manica Diamonds · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ngezi Platinum · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-22T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hardrock · 1-2 (L)

Manica Diamonds

  • 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Highlanders · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs TelOne · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hunters · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Agama · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-23T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ngezi Platinum · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier Soccer League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Hardrock3120653566
2Scotland Mabvuku30171033461
3Ngezi Platinum32141441356
4Dynamos32121641752
5CAPS United31131261151
6Herentals3214612-148
7MWOS31111281045
8Highlanders319166443
9Platinum329167043
10Chicken Inn31111010-143
11Simba Bhora3191210039
12Hunters3171410-1035
13Kariba3261511-933
14Bulawayo Chiefs3171014-1231
15Agama317717-2128
16Triangle United315917-1724
17TelOne3141017-2322
18Manica Diamonds314918-3021

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Hunters win, at 51.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 28% and over 2.5 goals at 24%.

A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.