Joe W. Davis Stadium · Analysis updated 07:42 UTC
Huntsville City vs Chattanooga Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.88 expected goals for Huntsville City and 1.70 for Chattanooga, a combined total of 3.58. That distribution gives Huntsville City the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
64.5% probability
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.70
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Huntsville City home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Chattanooga away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Huntsville City to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 22% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.88 goals for Huntsville City and 1.70 for Chattanooga, a combined 3.58 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.9%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–27.6%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–05.3%
Recent form
Huntsville City
- 2026-09-20T18:00:00.000Z · A vs New York RB II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Inter Miami II · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-10T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Chattanooga · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T23:00:00.000Z · A vs New England II · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-23T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Columbus Crew II · 1-0 (W)
Chattanooga
- 2026-10-25T21:00:00.000Z · H vs Connecticut FC · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-18T21:00:00.000Z · H vs New York City II · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Chicago Fire II · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Atlanta United II · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-10T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Huntsville City · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
MLS Next Pro table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.