Joe W. Davis Stadium · Analysis updated 22:57 UTC
Huntsville City vs Columbus Crew II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.82 expected goals for Huntsville City and 1.61 for Columbus Crew II, a combined total of 3.42. That distribution gives Huntsville City the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.5% probability
Expected goals
1.82 – 1.61
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Huntsville City home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Columbus Crew II away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Huntsville City to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 22% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.82 goals for Huntsville City and 1.61 for Columbus Crew II, a combined 3.42 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.5%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–27.6%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–05.9%
Recent form
Huntsville City
- 2026-09-20T18:00:00.000Z · A vs New York RB II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Inter Miami II · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-10T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Chattanooga · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T23:00:00.000Z · A vs New England II · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-23T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Columbus Crew II · 1-0 (W)
Columbus Crew II
- 2026-10-17T19:00:00.000Z · H vs New England II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Carolina Core · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-13T22:00:00.000Z · H vs New England II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-08T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Toronto II · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-04T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Philadelphia Union II · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
MLS Next Pro table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.