Joe W. Davis Stadium · Analysis updated 16:16 UTC
Huntsville City vs Crown Legacy Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.45 expected goals for Huntsville City and 2.05 for Crown Legacy, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Crown Legacy the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Crown Legacy win
51.5% probability
Expected goals
1.45 – 2.05
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Huntsville City home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Crown Legacy away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Crown Legacy to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 27% / 21% / 52% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.45 goals for Huntsville City and 2.05 for Crown Legacy, a combined 3.50 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
49%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.2%
- 1–19.0%
- 2–26.7%
- 2–16.5%
- 0–26.3%
Recent form
Huntsville City
- 2026-09-20T18:00:00.000Z · A vs New York RB II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Inter Miami II · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-10T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Chattanooga · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T23:00:00.000Z · A vs New England II · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-23T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Columbus Crew II · 1-0 (W)
Crown Legacy
- 2026-10-18T23:00:00.000Z · H vs New York RB II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T18:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Cincinnati II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Carolina Core · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-04T21:30:00.000Z · H vs Chicago Fire II · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Orlando City II · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
MLS Next Pro table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Crown Legacy win, at 51.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.