Argentina · Torneo Federal A · Winners Stage - 418:30

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Sunday, 16 August 2026

Estadio General San Martin · Analysis updated 23:17 UTC

Huracan Las Heras vs Juventud Antoniana Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.66 expected goals for Huracan Las Heras and 0.93 for Juventud Antoniana, a combined total of 1.59. That distribution gives Juventud Antoniana the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 35%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 22% for over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 20%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

75.0% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.66 – 0.93

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Huracan Las Heras home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Juventud Antoniana away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Juventud Antoniana to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 25% / 35% / 40% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.66 goals for Huracan Las Heras and 0.93 for Juventud Antoniana, a combined 1.59 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Huracan Las Heras win25%
Draw35%
Juventud Antoniana win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

65%

Double chance X2

75%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals47%
Over 2.5 goals22%
Over 3.5 goals8%
Both teams to score29%

Correct score

  • 0–020.4%
  • 0–118.9%
  • 1–013.5%
  • 1–112.5%
  • 0–28.8%

Recent form

Huracan Las Heras

  • 2026-09-20T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Atenas · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Kimberley Mar del Plata · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-06T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Argentino Monte Maíz · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-30T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Villa Mitre · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-16T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Juventud Antoniana · 1-0 (W)

Juventud Antoniana

  • 2026-09-19T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Cipolletti · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Atenas · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Kimberley Mar del Plata · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-30T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Argentino Monte Maíz · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-22T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Villa Mitre · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Torneo Federal A table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 75.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 29% and over 2.5 goals at 22%.

A 75% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.