Estadio General San Martin · Analysis updated 21:52 UTC
Huracan Las Heras vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.60 expected goals for Huracan Las Heras and 0.68 for Olimpo Bahia Blanca, a combined total of 1.28. That distribution gives Olimpo Bahia Blanca the largest share of the 1X2 market at 32%, with the draw at 41%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 14% for over 2.5 goals and 22% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 28%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 32% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
67.9% probability
Expected goals
0.60 – 0.68
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Huracan Las Heras home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Olimpo Bahia Blanca away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 7 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
68%
Double chance 12
60%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–027.9%
- 0–118.9%
- 1–016.8%
- 1–111.3%
- 0–26.4%
Recent form
Huracan Las Heras
- 2026-09-20T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Atenas · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Kimberley Mar del Plata · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-06T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Argentino Monte Maíz · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Villa Mitre · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-16T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Juventud Antoniana · 1-0 (W)
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
- 2026-10-11T19:00:00.000Z · H vs San Martin Formosa · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-04T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Alvarado · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-06T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Cipolletti · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-08T18:30:00.000Z · Huracan Las Heras 0-1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca (Torneo Federal A)
- 2022-08-07T18:30:00.000Z · Huracan Las Heras 1-1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca (Torneo Federal A)
- 2022-04-30T16:30:00.000Z · Huracan Las Heras 0-0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca (Torneo Federal A)
- 2021-09-25T19:00:00.000Z · Huracan Las Heras 2-0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca (Torneo Federal A)
- 2021-06-27T18:00:00.000Z · Huracan Las Heras 0-1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca (Torneo Federal A)
- 2021-01-03T23:00:00.000Z · Huracan Las Heras 0-2 Olimpo Bahia Blanca (Torneo Federal A)
- 2019-11-10T20:00:00.000Z · Huracan Las Heras 3-1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca (Torneo Federal A)
Torneo Federal A table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 22% and over 2.5 goals at 14%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.