Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 900:30
HuracanLWWWD

2 – 1

Monday, 14 September 2026

Racing ClubLWWLL

Estadio Tomas Adolfo Duco · Referee P. Dovalo · Analysis updated 13:55 UTC

Huracan vs Racing Club Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for Huracan and 0.85 for Racing Club, a combined total of 2.05. That distribution gives Huracan the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 34% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

73.9% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.20 – 0.85

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Huracan home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Racing Club away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 3 of the last 9 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Huracan win44%
Draw30%
Racing Club win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals61%
Over 2.5 goals34%
Over 3.5 goals15%
Both teams to score40%

Correct score

  • 1–015.4%
  • 1–113.1%
  • 0–012.9%
  • 0–110.9%
  • 2–09.3%

Recent form

Huracan

  • 2026-10-10T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Barracas Central · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T17:45:00.000Z · H vs Aldosivi · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T22:00:00.000Z · A vs River Plate · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-14T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Racing Club · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-04T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Belgrano Cordoba · 1-1 (D)

Racing Club

  • 2026-10-05T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Boca Juniors · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T00:15:00.000Z · H vs Sarmiento Junin · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-14T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Huracan · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-07T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Atletico Tucuman · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-09-14T00:30:00.000Z · Huracan 2-1 Racing Club (Liga Profesional Argentina)
  • 2026-05-03T19:00:00.000Z · Huracan 0-0 Racing Club (Liga Profesional Argentina)
  • 2025-09-19T22:00:00.000Z · Huracan 0-2 Racing Club (Liga Profesional Argentina)
  • 2025-03-08T22:15:00.000Z · Huracan 1-0 Racing Club (Liga Profesional Argentina)
  • 2024-08-03T23:30:00.000Z · Huracan 0-0 Racing Club (Liga Profesional Argentina)
  • 2023-09-09T23:10:00.000Z · Huracan 5-3 Racing Club (Copa Argentina)
  • 2023-04-01T22:30:00.000Z · Huracan 1-2 Racing Club (Liga Profesional Argentina)
  • 2022-06-05T00:30:00.000Z · Huracan 0-2 Racing Club (Liga Profesional Argentina)
  • 2021-12-05T00:30:00.000Z · Huracan 1-0 Racing Club (Liga Profesional Argentina)

Liga Profesional Argentina table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.169431231
2Boca Juniors168621330
3Velez Sarsfield16772628
4Talleres Cordoba16754426
5Independiente16664424
6Lanus16664324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711
1Independ. Rivadavia1610421434
2River Plate169251029
3Argentinos JRS16853429
4Rosario Central16844428
5Belgrano Cordoba16754426
6Gimnasia L.P.16826026
7Huracan16574422
8Racing Club16565221
9Barracas Central16565021
10Tigre16484320
11Sarmiento Junin16619-719
12Banfield16538-218
13Atletico Tucuman16358-514
14Aldosivi16088-138
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto161213-195
1Instituto Cordoba12822926
2Defensa Y Justicia12732724
3Boca Juniors12561621
4Velez Sarsfield12561421
5Lanus12624620
6Gimnasia M.12624320
7Independiente12534-118
8Newells Old Boys12453217
9Estudiantes L.P.12426214
10San Lorenzo12426-614
11Union Santa Fe12417-413
12Deportivo Riestra12255-311
13Platense12255-611
14Central Cordoba de Santiago12246-610
15Talleres Cordoba12237-79
1Rosario Central12642822
2Belgrano Cordoba12642722
3Argentinos JRS12642522
4Sarmiento Junin11614319
5Huracan12543119
6Gimnasia L.P.12543019
7Barracas Central12534118
8Independ. Rivadavia12534-418
9River Plate11515216
10Atletico Tucuman12354014
11Banfield12345-413
12Tigre12336-212
13Racing Club12327-611
14Aldosivi12228-78
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto12138-106

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 73.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 34%.

A 74% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.