Estadio Hugo Sánchez Márquez · Analysis updated 03:38 UTC
Huracanes Izcalli vs Artesanos Metepec Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.06 expected goals for Huracanes Izcalli and 1.87 for Artesanos Metepec, a combined total of 2.93. That distribution gives Artesanos Metepec the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Artesanos Metepec win
56.2% probability
Expected goals
1.06 – 1.87
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Huracanes Izcalli home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Artesanos Metepec away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Artesanos Metepec to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 21% / 23% / 56% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.06 goals for Huracanes Izcalli and 1.87 for Artesanos Metepec, a combined 2.93 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
44%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
79%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.6%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–29.3%
- 1–36.2%
Recent form
Huracanes Izcalli
- 2026-08-30T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo Ayense · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-03-14T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Poza Rica · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-03-07T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Acambaro · 3-8 (L)
- 2026-02-22T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo Ayense · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-02-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Artesanos Metepec · 0-2 (L)
Artesanos Metepec
- 2026-09-27T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Acambaro · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Halcones Negros · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-16T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Ciervos · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Calor de San Pedro · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Real Refineros · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga Premier Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Irapuato II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Celaya 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Gorilas de Juanacatlan | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 |
| 5 | Huracanes Izcalli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul Lagunas | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Internacional Laguna | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Deportivo Ayense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Heroes de Zaci 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 10 | Atletico Hidalgo | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -15 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Artesanos Metepec win, at 56.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.