Mexico · Liga Premier Serie B · Apertura - 221:30

0 – 2

Friday, 4 September 2026

· Analysis updated 09:55 UTC

Huracanes Izcalli vs Racing de Veracruz 2 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.33 expected goals for Huracanes Izcalli and 2.08 for Racing de Veracruz 2, a combined total of 3.41. That distribution gives Racing de Veracruz 2 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Racing de Veracruz 2 win

54.7% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.33 – 2.08

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Huracanes Izcalli home form

    1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Racing de Veracruz 2 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 24% / 21% / 55% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.33 goals for Huracanes Izcalli and 2.08 for Racing de Veracruz 2, a combined 3.41 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 66% and both teams to score at 64%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Match result (1X2)

Huracanes Izcalli win24%
Draw21%
Racing de Veracruz 2 win55%

Double chance 1X

45%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

76%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Both teams to score64%

Correct score

  • 1–29.5%
  • 1–19.2%
  • 0–27.2%
  • 0–16.9%
  • 1–36.6%

Recent form

Huracanes Izcalli

  • 2026-08-30T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo Ayense · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-03-14T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Poza Rica · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-03-07T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Acambaro · 3-8 (L)
  • 2026-02-22T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo Ayense · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-02-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Artesanos Metepec · 0-2 (L)

Racing de Veracruz 2

  • 2026-10-17T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Cruz Azul Lagunas · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo Ayense · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Gorilas de Juanacatlan · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-04T21:30:00.000Z · A vs Huracanes Izcalli · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Liga Premier Serie B table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Racing de Veracruz 2 win, at 54.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.

A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.