Sweden · Elitettan · Matchweek 1812:00
Husqvarna WDWLWL

2 – 1

Saturday, 12 September 2026

· Analysis updated 11:01 UTC

Husqvarna W vs KIF Örebro W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Husqvarna W and 1.48 for KIF Örebro W, a combined total of 2.73. That distribution gives KIF Örebro W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

67.9% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.48

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Husqvarna W home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • KIF Örebro W away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates KIF Örebro W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 32% / 26% / 42% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.25 goals for Husqvarna W and 1.48 for KIF Örebro W, a combined 2.73 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Husqvarna W win32%
Draw26%
KIF Örebro W win42%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–112.1%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 1–08.2%
  • 2–17.6%

Recent form

Husqvarna W

  • 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Jitex W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandviken W · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Umeå W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gamla Upsala W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Växjö W · 1-3 (L)

KIF Örebro W

  • 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandviken W · 7-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Enskede W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs AIK W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Göteborg W · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Husqvarna W · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · Husqvarna W 2-1 KIF Örebro W (Elitettan)
  • 2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · Husqvarna W 1-2 KIF Örebro W (Elitettan)

Elitettan table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Elfsborg W2316613454
2KIF Örebro W2317243253
3Göteborg W2315623451
4Linköping W2313461043
5Umeå W2312561741
6Husqvarna W23959-232
7Trelleborg W23959-732
8Jitex W23779-728
9Örebro SK W237511-1326
10Enskede W237412-1025
11Alingsås W235711-1122
12Gamla Upsala W235513-1220
13Sandviken W233515-3714
14Häcken II W232219-288

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.