Sweden · Elitettan · Matchweek 2212:00
Husqvarna WDWLWL

3 – 1

Saturday, 17 October 2026

Sandviken WWLLLL

· Analysis updated 23:19 UTC

Husqvarna W vs Sandviken W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for Husqvarna W and 1.00 for Sandviken W, a combined total of 2.80. That distribution gives Husqvarna W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Husqvarna W win

56.1% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.80 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Husqvarna W home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Sandviken W away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Husqvarna W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 23% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.80 goals for Husqvarna W and 1.00 for Sandviken W, a combined 2.80 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Husqvarna W win56%
Draw23%
Sandviken W win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams to score53%

Correct score

  • 1–010.9%
  • 1–110.9%
  • 2–09.9%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 0–06.1%

Recent form

Husqvarna W

  • 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Jitex W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandviken W · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Umeå W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gamla Upsala W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Växjö W · 1-3 (L)

Sandviken W

  • 2026-10-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Linköping W · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Husqvarna W · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs KIF Örebro W · 0-7 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Umeå W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-23T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Umeå W · 2-6 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Elitettan table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Elfsborg W2316613454
2KIF Örebro W2317243253
3Göteborg W2315623451
4Linköping W2313461043
5Umeå W2312561741
6Husqvarna W23959-232
7Trelleborg W23959-732
8Jitex W23779-728
9Örebro SK W237511-1326
10Enskede W237412-1025
11Alingsås W235711-1122
12Gamla Upsala W235513-1220
13Sandviken W233515-3714
14Häcken II W232219-288

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Husqvarna W win, at 56.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.

A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.