Sweden · Svenska Cupen - Women · Round 217:00

1 – 3

Tuesday, 22 September 2026

Växjö WLLLDL

· Analysis updated 15:31 UTC

Husqvarna W vs Växjö W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.76 expected goals for Husqvarna W and 1.10 for Växjö W, a combined total of 2.86. That distribution gives Husqvarna W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Husqvarna W win

52.8% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.76 – 1.10

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Husqvarna W home form

    9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Växjö W away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Husqvarna W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 24% / 24% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.76 goals for Husqvarna W and 1.10 for Växjö W, a combined 2.86 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Husqvarna W win53%
Draw24%
Växjö W win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–111.1%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–08.8%
  • 0–16.3%

Recent form

Husqvarna W

  • 2026-10-04T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Umeå W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Gamla Upsala W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Växjö W · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Linköping W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs KIF Örebro W · 2-1 (W)

Växjö W

  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs AIK W · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-22T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Husqvarna W · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Vittsjö W · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hammarby W · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Piteå W · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Husqvarna W win, at 52.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.