Hvězda Cheb vs Brandýs nad Labem Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.27 expected goals for Hvězda Cheb and 3.30 for Brandýs nad Labem, a combined total of 5.57. That distribution gives Brandýs nad Labem the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 91% for over 2.5 goals and 86% for both teams to score, with 2–3 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Brandýs nad Labem win

58.4% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.27 – 3.30

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Hvězda Cheb home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Brandýs nad Labem away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Brandýs nad Labem to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 26% / 16% / 58% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.27 goals for Hvězda Cheb and 3.30 for Brandýs nad Labem, a combined 5.57 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Hvězda Cheb win26%

Draw16%

Brandýs nad Labem win58%

Double chance 1X

42%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

74%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals97%

Over 2.5 goals91%

Over 3.5 goals80%

Both teams to score86%

Correct score

2–35.9%
2–25.3%
1–35.2%
2–44.9%
1–24.7%

Recent form

Hvězda Cheb

2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Slaný · 0-3 (L)
2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Štětí · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-27T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Meteor Praha · 2-7 (L)
2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Chomutov · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-12T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Baník Sokolov · 1-3 (L)

Brandýs nad Labem

2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Rapid Psáry · 1-5 (L)
2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Slavoj Vyšehrad · 5-2 (W)
2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Velvary · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-23T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Ostrov · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Újezd Praha 4 · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · Hvězda Cheb 4-3 Brandýs nad Labem (4. liga - Divizie B)
2024-03-23T15:00:00.000Z · Hvězda Cheb 0-0 Brandýs nad Labem (4. liga - Divizie B)
2023-08-27T15:00:00.000Z · Hvězda Cheb 2-5 Brandýs nad Labem (4. liga - Divizie B)

4. liga - Divizie B table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sokol Hostouň	10	7	1	2	18	22
2	Chomutov	10	7	1	2	12	22
3	Újezd Praha 4	10	6	2	2	5	20
4	Rapid Psáry	10	6	1	3	12	19
5	Baník Sokolov	10	6	0	4	8	18
6	Meteor Praha	10	5	1	4	2	16
7	Brandýs nad Labem	10	5	0	5	0	15
8	Slaný	10	4	2	4	8	14
9	Tempo Praha	10	4	2	4	2	14
10	Slovan Velvary	10	4	2	4	-5	14
11	Karlovy Vary	10	4	1	5	2	13
12	Štětí	10	3	3	4	-3	12
13	Ostrov	10	3	1	6	-10	10
14	Slavoj Vyšehrad	10	2	1	7	-14	7
15	Hvězda Cheb	10	2	1	7	-19	7
16	Ústí nad Labem II	10	1	3	6	-18	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Brandýs nad Labem win, at 58.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–3.

It puts both teams scoring at 86% and over 2.5 goals at 91%.

A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.