Hvidovre IF's baner · Analysis updated 08:38 UTC
Hvidovre II vs Skovshoved Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.68 expected goals for Hvidovre II and 1.65 for Skovshoved, a combined total of 3.33. That distribution gives Hvidovre II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
62.0% probability
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Hvidovre II home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Skovshoved away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hvidovre II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 23% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.68 goals for Hvidovre II and 1.65 for Skovshoved, a combined 3.33 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.9%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–06.0%
Recent form
Hvidovre II
- 2026-03-28T13:00:00.000Z · H vs GVI · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-03-20T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Gørslev · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-03-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ringsted · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-03-07T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Fredensborg BI · 3-3 (D)
- 2025-11-09T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Skovshoved · 1-3 (L)
Skovshoved
- 2026-08-25T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Tårnby FF · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vigerslev · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-03-28T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ringsted · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-03-21T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Fredensborg BI · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-03-14T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sydkysten · 3-3 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Denmark Series - Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ringsted | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 40 |
| 2 | Gørslev | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 35 |
| 3 | Allerød | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 31 |
| 4 | Fredensborg BI | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | -4 | 28 |
| 5 | Skjold Sæby | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 26 |
| 6 | GVI | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | -7 | 24 |
| 7 | Gladsaxe | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -7 | 22 |
| 8 | Sydkysten | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -2 | 21 |
| 9 | Skovshoved | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | -10 | 17 |
| 10 | Hvidovre II | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | -21 | 7 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.